And that is why I was motivated to write this article for the Mindanao Reader. There, I think, is a need for young readers to contemplate on this potential scenario for the future.
In researching this writing project at the close of 2019, I was lucky enough to have the current Philippine Army commander as my primary source or respondent. General Romeo Brawner served as the Army spokesman on the ground in Marawi during those fateful months. In late November 2019, he had just been recalled from his brief stint as 103rd Army Brigade commander in Marawi to take over as Commandant of Cadets at the PMA in the wake of a hazing death. Among the first things he did when he got to Baguio was to email a request to my ADDU boss Fr Tabora for me to come to PMA and provide mental health support to the corps. So I strong-armed him to do an interview a few weeks later para quits kami.
Those of you who know General Brawner or may have seen him on the news probably know that he can be engaging raconteur if you can capture him for a sitdown. He was raised in a home with a judge and a higher education professor as parents, so there in itself is quite an extensive liberal education from the nest. After high school, he went to UP Diliman before becoming a cadet at the PMA. He says it was mostly to avoid having his manhood challenged by his uncles who were PMA alumni.
His cadet days did not go as smoothly though – sometime midway, he experienced disappointments and doubts, but with the help of some mentors he was able to overcome these. He went on to eventually graduate at the top of his class. Today, he has three postgraduate degrees and can really talk to just about anybody on any medium.
I digress.
Anyway, Gen. Brawner helped me understand how the Marawi Siege became possible, how the ISIS takeover of cities in faraway Iraq and Syria beckoned to some fringe groups here on our islands to plot for the taking over of the only Islamic city in the country. Long and short, ISIS influence made inroads here in the Philippines as early as 2014. It initially fed on avowed violent extremist groups – we had those already – the ones who were quick to post their videos of pledging allegiance to ISIS and to Abu Bkar Al-Baghdadi.
Mainly through social media and thereby attracting the millennial segment of our population, this extremist ideology would invite adherents through savvy propaganda and slick recruitment strategies. Young men and women dropped out of school to learn bomb-making in clandestine training camps. Or they stayed above ground and raised money for the cause, networking to provide support to jihadis who executed bombing of commuter buses, night markets, malls, churches, and promenades, mostly here in Mindanao. They procured guns and ammos as well as the materials for improvised explosive devices.
Until August 2016, the official line of the military was that there was no ISIS-related threat in the country – that internet postings alluding to such were merely attention-seeking bandwagon activities to the bigger war happening in the Middle East.
Thus ignored and unacknowledged, the threat grew in number in secret. And so they became a force for the rest of us to reckon with, but especially the soldiers.
What is this new war arena for the Filipino soldier?
Urban warfare features heavy guns and IEDs fought in heavily fortified concrete structures that provide many hiding places and sniper nests. Clearing the enemy would mean destroying these hiding places and sniper nests so they could not be used for those purposes. That often means totally destroying sturdy buildings. It will need bigger bombs. Think of that for a moment. To render buildings unusable for hideouts, shields, or sniper nests means to reduce them to rubble. Bring it to the ground to save it.
Assault weapons and any form of heavy guns loaded with armor-piercing rounds can inflict so much damage in so short a time. You have guns like these, you don’t need a lot of fighters.
Urban warfare means the use of computer-guided drones to gather intelligence or serve as forward observers to identify targets. Attack drones could also be used to inflict damage on the enemy without risk to the operator. We saw drones used in Marawi. As we speak, drone technology is accelerating, so in future wars I expect drones will have more lethal uses. Someone somewhere is literally testing that now.[]